Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 2752.333764 2974.464984 3199.269536 3443.507573 3701.062278 3964.282995 4253.313836
2025-02-02 2429.051101 2764.063784 3115.465288 3510.342701 3940.502873 4393.712589 4906.103201
2025-02-09 2182.378792 2582.148595 3012.837568 3508.885607 4061.958244 4657.230060 5343.885496
2025-02-16 1977.985958 2420.994199 2909.371354 3483.702561 4136.551336 4851.597747 5689.906185
2025-02-23 1848.751685 2330.525518 2872.279467 3520.758295 4269.924249 5102.414581 6091.454903
2025-03-02 1715.499362 2224.085886 2806.803567 3515.913002 4347.423507 5283.660251 6409.348855
2025-03-09 1630.307240 2167.324841 2792.930838 3565.317221 4482.808088 5527.598548 6796.674239
2025-03-16 1513.389897 2064.605450 2717.773564 3536.075409 4520.774672 5654.754877 7046.063694
2025-03-23 1460.778912 2036.973762 2729.590598 3607.951535 4676.271444 5917.898532 7453.756221
2025-03-30 1386.477506 1977.626096 2698.745997 3624.654134 4762.994851 6098.215418 7763.293701
2025-04-06 1311.985179 1913.847679 2658.754179 3626.836096 4829.489602 6252.651791 8041.187953
2025-04-13 1198.051156 1793.275464 2542.245490 3528.983178 4769.185085 6251.236049 8129.756608
2025-04-20 1181.670324 1801.456051 2590.492371 3639.991587 4969.794776 6569.697868 8609.509688
2025-04-27 1148.692561 1785.702581 2606.768332 3709.894452 5119.513708 6827.394248 9018.098346
2025-05-04 1089.009660 1730.603062 2569.134401 3708.374133 5177.784896 6971.872603 9288.413936
2025-05-11 1023.859375 1664.746644 2514.455878 3682.154424 5202.616017 7073.526419 9505.349828
2025-05-18 987.809560 1637.848910 2510.253835 3720.734903 5309.441611 7276.999935 9848.524153
2025-05-25 938.075663 1589.065333 2474.413441 3715.690491 5358.724278 7407.643829 10101.164191
2025-06-01 911.533328 1572.475754 2481.496157 3767.121491 5480.954662 7630.413496 10469.735558
2025-06-08 858.452359 1514.478980 2429.209901 3736.680988 5494.597007 7714.521009 10663.841055
2025-06-15 843.612712 1512.621446 2454.709673 3811.498662 5646.819054 7975.743811 11082.421689
2025-06-22 810.999464 1482.409127 2438.973305 3828.882506 5722.358317 8138.641574 11376.987106
2025-06-29 775.441032 1446.077438 2413.139437 3831.153400 5776.918764 8274.164537 11636.919240